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  1. shootersa

    shootersa Frisky Feline

    Joined:
    Dec 28, 2010
    Messages:
    81,849
    So, the despicables, namely Chuck Shumer, Ron Wyden, Sherrod Brown, Michael Bennet and Jack Reed have introduced legislation to reinstate the $600 bonus unemployment jackpot. This is completely separate from any of the other stimulus programs that Congress is cooking up.
    And, what's not to like, right?

    A bit of background; Unemployment benefits are intended to help people get by when they lose their job "through no fault of their own". The benefits are intentionally not supposed to replace ones wages, in fact, on average, unemployment benefits only cover about half of one's wage.
    That's intentional.

    Now, when the Covid thingy showed up, Congress and President Trump decided they could help all those people losing their jobs because of Covid by giving them a $600 a week bonus.
    On top of their unemployment benefits.

    So, without putting people in a trance with the math, what it meant was, if one made about $50,000 a year, that $600 bonus pretty much meant that with unemployment benefits, you were still getting about what you would have gotten if you were working.

    But, if you were say, a minimum wage food server at McDonalds, you got the equivalent of hitting the lottery every week. Say you were working 35 hours a week and making the federal minimum wage of $10.80. Your gross pay (before taxes) would be around $375. Your net (after taxes) would be about $250. Which, depending on your state and earnings history for the last couple of years, would get you around $175 a week in unemployment.
    Plus, $600 additional.
    A week.
    All of a sudden, your take home is around $775 or 3 times your normal take home.

    So yeah, whats not to like?

    Well, couple of things.
    First, when they did this in March and the program expired in June, the despicables wanted to ram through an extension of the program. The deplorables said "but fraud" and the despicables twirled and howled.
    NO FRAUD!! they said; a job refusal will stop benefits!!

    Here's the reality.
    Unemployment agencies in every state are reporting huge increases in fraud, partly because of the overwhelming volume of claims, but also because JACKPOT!!
    In California, they've gotten so confused that they're suspending whole blocks of claims AND getting the money back directly from the banks, and in the process sucking the last source of income right out of the bank accounts of legitimately unemployed claim filers. Really. Google it.
    Oh, and the guys already in prison? Idle hands and all that; the state discovered that enterprising prisoners managed to collect $400 MILLION in fraudulent claims before the state caught on (pun intended). Oh, and one of the prisoners involved? Scott Peterson, he who killed his wife and child.

    In Florida so many fraudulent claims have been filed that people still employed are finding unemployment checks being sent to them, probably because a bug in the unemployment system doesn't always accept the new address fraudsters use when they file a claim using stolen identities.

    In Louisiana the state had to create a special unit to investigate 32,000 suspected fraudulent claims. And over half of them will be receiving their checks even though the state has good reason to suspect fraud.

    Now, the unemployment system has worked well for over 85 years, except when the legislators start fucking with it.
    Like the Obama administration did in 2009 and 2010. The "normal" time a claim can be paid is 6 months. The Obama administration extended that to two fucking years, AND removed the requirement that one be looking for work, you know, so the unemployed could go to school and update their qualifications. What in reality happened was that an estimated 1.5 MILLION Americans discovered that if one is unemployed for 2 years, one is all but unemployable. You know, cause a pesky "why couldn't you find work for 2 years" question is hard to answer.
    It took the Trump economy to bring those folks back to work almost a decade later.

    So, is a $600 weekly bonus a good idea just now?
    In Shooters opinion, not only no, but HELL NO!
     
    • Agree Agree x 2
    • Disagree Disagree x 1
    1. Bitsman
      I agree with your cited facts... really don't even need to look them up to verify any.. I have little doubt that one of our fine upstanding "Gimme Free Shit" members will be triggered and label you a racist or something like that. Tho I highly doubt you'd care much!!!
       
      Bitsman, Dec 2, 2020
      Roger Mitchell likes this.
    2. Truthful 1
      No one says it better shooter , great job
       
      Truthful 1, Dec 3, 2020
    #1
  2. tenguy

    tenguy Reasoned voice of XNXX

    Joined:
    Oct 27, 2007
    Messages:
    55,133
    Saw this first hand back in 2010 and again this passed spring. Lost a bunch of laborers and trainees to the unemployment boondoggle. They could make more money by collecting benefits and then work for cash under the table at a reduced rate.
     
    #2
  3. Rixer

    Rixer Horndog

    Joined:
    Aug 2, 2008
    Messages:
    28,938
    I'm going to go back to work so I can get laid off and collect. Thanks for the info! :thumbsup:
    Although, if people are forced to stop working to help end the pandemic, they should get a helping hand through this. Some people like me get through it just fine. Others in industries that have been shut down are in danger of losing everything. Some people will abuse the system, no doubt. For most of them it's a much needed lifeline.
     
    • Like Like x 4
    • Funny Funny x 2
    • Agree Agree x 1
    1. tenguy
      That pesky word “most” is mostly subjective.
       
      tenguy, Dec 2, 2020
      Bitsman likes this.
    #3
  4. Jh2

    Jh2 Porn Star

    Joined:
    Jul 9, 2019
    Messages:
    5,433
    It's all about making a profit
     
    • Agree Agree x 1
    #4
  5. Dearelliot

    Dearelliot Porn Star

    Joined:
    Aug 9, 2018
    Messages:
    13,224
    If you help the workers it's socialism if you help businesses it's capitalism
     
    • Agree Agree x 4
    • Like Like x 2
    • Winner Winner x 1
    1. View previous comments...
    2. anon_de_plume
      Then quit whining about others calling you out for being racist.
       
      anon_de_plume, Dec 4, 2020
    3. ace's n 8's
      Have I ever whined about folks claiming that I despise half cracker and all that he stands for?
       
      ace's n 8's, Dec 5, 2020
    4. anon_de_plume
      Yes, you have. That phase is racist and you whined early on this very set of comments that I was playing the race card.

      You are a roundabout kind of guy..
       
      anon_de_plume, Dec 5, 2020
      Dearelliot likes this.
    5. ace's n 8's
      Not too sure that I'm whining sugar plum, I suppose I should have known and spelled it out for you....now I will...s.a.r.c.a.s.m.
       
      ace's n 8's, Dec 5, 2020
    6. anon_de_plume
      Duck and weave!
       
      anon_de_plume, Dec 5, 2020
    #5
  6. Bitsman

    Bitsman Marquis de Sade

    Joined:
    Feb 5, 2009
    Messages:
    4,927
    And here we have our first post from the "Gimme Free Shit" crowd folks...
     
    • Like Like x 1
    • Agree Agree x 1
    1. Dearelliot
      The large corporations and Trump and Kushner's company's!
       
      Dearelliot, Dec 3, 2020
      gammaXray likes this.
    2. Truthful 1
      Oh boy Elliot . The only difference is Trump cares about America ,liberal billionaires do not
       
      Truthful 1, Dec 4, 2020
    #6
  7. ironfistvk

    ironfistvk Porn Star

    Joined:
    Jun 28, 2010
    Messages:
    1,708
    There are two sides to every coin. Those who want to commit fraud will do it, regardless of their socio-economic background. White collar crimes have, will and continue to exist. Covered part of this in that asinine thread asking if minimum wage should be $15 so wont bother again. Personally have no problem with more stimulus check/s for people......people not corporates, not banks, not politicians, not lobbyists or other such entities even with fraud present.
     
    • Like Like x 2
    1. tenguy
      Ah so, truth is spoken.

      Now, how about the bureaucrats actually do their job of properly vetting applicants.
       
      tenguy, Dec 3, 2020
    2. heads-up
      If that were the case, perhaps. But the first 6 trillion only earmarked a few hundred billion to citizens. Whose pockets the rest went I’m not sure...which is how the government wants it. Now they want round two. Our currency is fast turning to Monopoly money. I’ll be dead before the wheels fall completely off....but feel for the next generations that will be fucked tomorrow for decisions made today.
       
      heads-up, Dec 3, 2020
    3. ironfistvk
      @tenguy The bureaucrats dont do the job of vetting applicants. Its regular people who have same concerns if not more than those like me or those who can work from home. Unfortunately most of those who do the vetting process would have to go into office (yay paperwork)
       
      ironfistvk, Dec 3, 2020
    4. ace's n 8's
      Stimulus checks?...what a joke that is, stimulus checks are not required.

      Just as well go ahead and give everyone $1000 check every month for ever...it's not like there wont be another crisis that cant go to waste that will soon be looming about...

      Fuck that socialist bullshit, lets just bail everyone out that cant budget their income responsibly....

      I dont know what you mother fuckers would have done without the federal fucking government bailing everyone out of a jam.....that is not the purpose of the federal fucking government.
       
      ace's n 8's, Dec 3, 2020
      Truthful 1 likes this.
    #7
  8. shootersa

    shootersa Frisky Feline

    Joined:
    Dec 28, 2010
    Messages:
    81,849
    Well, should government pay people more than they would earn if they were working?

    How can that be justified?
     
    • Like Like x 1
    • Dislike Dislike x 1
    • Agree Agree x 1
    1. View previous comments...
    2. Dearelliot
      Unemployment shouldn't be a raise in pay, but the same for Trump Kushner and other big businesses sucking up billions from the taxpayer. But Republicans like to fuck the working man
       
      Dearelliot, Dec 3, 2020
      thinskin and gammaXray like this.
    3. heads-up
      Trump has taken a pay cut, the only President to leave office without having enriched himself. Now, Biden, Clinton, and Nobama, all came in broke, now all have tens of millions. More lies from the old leftist.
       
      heads-up, Dec 3, 2020
    4. shootersa
      Love how we're back to "Republicans like to fuck the working man" lie.
       
      shootersa, Dec 3, 2020
      heads-up likes this.
    5. thinskin
      Don't they?

      ts
       
      thinskin, Dec 3, 2020
    6. ace's n 8's
      The age-old leftist talking points revived once again.....that, has just about as much value as the race card does.
       
      ace's n 8's, Dec 4, 2020
    #8
  9. Roger Mitchell

    Roger Mitchell Sex Machine

    Joined:
    Mar 30, 2019
    Messages:
    573
    You're crazy!! Quit being a ass! Ohbuma was and the worst Pres we ever had. That's why sleepy has got a bunch of the same people!!! Fuck the dems
     
    • Agree Agree x 2
    1. View previous comments...
    2. Dearelliot
      Had the jackals hounded Hillary, you wouldn't call them Jackals. you degrade the people who do their job because they are pursuing Trump. You should think about that,
      and when they take that pound of flesh that really hurts and yes life goes on its normal course for most of us, not everyone.
       
      Dearelliot, Dec 3, 2020
      AyaLaRoux, thinskin and gammaXray like this.
    3. shootersa
      "Jackals" triggers you?
      Suck it up buttercup.
       
      shootersa, Dec 3, 2020
    4. Dearelliot
      Not triggers, it's hardly a vile remark, shooter, its just silly to sound like a high school kid here.
      Like going to a High School football game and calling the other team names... who does that?
       
      Dearelliot, Dec 3, 2020
      AyaLaRoux likes this.
    5. Truthful 1
      You are absolutely right the only thing that might keep Donald Trump from being harassed after he’s not president . Is the fact that he knew all these congressman and Senators before he was president . Not being president he can expose them very easily . Just because Jeffrey Epstein is dead , Doesn’t mean those crimes didn’t happen . The most congressmen and senators are dirty vary in more ways than one I’m guessing they won’t mess with Trump after he’s not president
       
      Truthful 1, Dec 3, 2020
      Dearelliot likes this.
    6. Dearelliot
      Yeah that may well be true, good friends and having money is always the best defense. Ask OJ
       
      Dearelliot, Dec 3, 2020
      thinskin likes this.
    #9
  10. ironfistvk

    ironfistvk Porn Star

    Joined:
    Jun 28, 2010
    Messages:
    1,708
    There are times when I cant help but wonder.....but thats my private musings and doesnt answer your question. It depends on context. Should govt pay people more than they would earn if they were working? IF the reason for that is something like a pandemic definitely and will even take it a step further and expand on the question. Those who are essential workers (actual essential workers) should even be paid more as hazard pay.

    Lets put the essential workers aside, lets talk about small businesses, mom and pop stores. Should govt. bail them out? Why shouldnt they? How are they different from corporations?

    Never mind them after all they will be insured and if they arent, thats their fault. Truckers, every day working class right? Deliver goods across the nation for us to consume. Shouldnt they be paid hazard pay?

    Remember I said I will expand on the question shooter asked ? We are coming to the meat of it. There have already been confirmed reports and stories about how some of the big corporations or even small ones for that matter laid of workforce in spite of getting stimulus checks, you (the you here is both the reader other than shooter and shooter) wouldnt say those are fake news would you? If you said its fake news well what I say next wouldnt matter but if you agree that at least some of them true then what I say next will matter. Now among those laid of workforce there will be handful who would have made more than what the unemployment+$600 amount would be, after all the benefits have a cap. Inversing the question should the govt. pay them in full? How can that be justified?

    Can go on and on but eh not like going to change set opinions right? So moving to my reasoning as to why it is justified?

    Main reason is to keep the people calm, it should be the govt.'s way of saying have faith in those you choose to lead you. To put it in another way to keep the populace calm...keep the sheeple calm. Joking aside yes should pay more to that people will have faith in their govts. Know what happens when people lose faith during uncertain times? History has lots of examples of what happens. I suppose should be some measure of comfort that we are tad bit more civilized compared to those times.

    Another reason, most families barely live from paycheck to paycheck even more so for some with kids. Kids being at home all the time means more food and other essential things will be consumed and so more expenses. Especially food, even if diet is poor if body is robust enough, then have better chances of surviving. So having extra money means that everyone will be fed fully. The argument that they should be able to better their lives is dumb....no one is born equal, never ever have the arrogance to try to compare circumstances.

    People will hate me for this next part....even if am speaking objectively. In a way we were fortunate, fortunate that this virus isnt virulent and also unfortunate that it isnt. Fortunate in that loss of life is always tragic no matter the reasons or circumstances or even if it makes you happy. Its also unfortunate, in that in spite of the loss of life so far if another pandemic occurs people will remain as ignorant.
     
    1. tenguy
      Guess it comes down to whether self determination is a goal. It is impossible to guarantee a life of leisure for every single person, this noble idea has failed every time it’s been tried.
       
      tenguy, Dec 3, 2020
    2. thinskin
      The ammounts being discussed hardly constitute a life of leisure!

      It is being tried out in Switzerland.

      ts
       
      thinskin, Dec 3, 2020
    3. tenguy
      Until you know the people who are collecting, and their lifestyles, you are in no position to offer a valid judgment.
       
      tenguy, Dec 3, 2020
    4. thinskin
      Really? You must list for me what leisures are possible after you have paid for the essentials like a roof over your head and food!

      If there is enough left over for a Caribbean holiday then I apologize.

      ts
       
      thinskin, Dec 3, 2020
    5. tenguy
      Is that your idea of a “life of leisure “? To me it’s being a position of not needing to work to sustain your lifestyle. But I guess you have much higher needs that that.
       
      tenguy, Dec 3, 2020
    #10
  11. phxbi_bear80

    phxbi_bear80 Abu el Banat

    Joined:
    May 29, 2019
    Messages:
    21,083
    Unemployment should just be a short term insurance benefit while in between employment, no doubt. The fact that there are some people who are taking advantage during these times isn't surprising, and plenty of others are in desperate times, and I can't and won't assume intentions. There are situations when rubber stamping things like this and worrying about paying it later are called for, but these horribly inefficient programs make matters even worse.
     
    • Disagree Disagree x 1
    1. shootersa
      We aren't talking minor or isolated cases of fraud. We're talking MILLIONS in every state.
      We're talking about the same "kill em with kindness" attitude the Obama administration had.
      Were talking disincentives not only to work, but to innovate.
      Shooters neighbor owns a trophy company. They make trophies and plaques and such out of crystal and high quality plastic.
      When covid hit they could have laid off. Instead, employees designed face shields for health care.
      They're selling thousands every week. If they had taken the easy way out they'd be out of business.
       
      shootersa, Dec 3, 2020
      Valspar likes this.
    2. Valspar
      Some companies can't adapt so quickly.
       
      Valspar, Dec 3, 2020
    3. shootersa
      They innovated because the alternative was not what they wanted.
      Imagine if food service had the same motivation. Bet they'd find a way to reopen if they weren't so disincentivized.
       
      shootersa, Dec 3, 2020
    #11
  12. Valspar

    Valspar porn surfer

    Joined:
    Feb 3, 2018
    Messages:
    23,993
    I ain't complaining.
    I busted my ass for Caterpillar for almost 20 years before they closed the plant and I was able to "retire" and get a small monthly pension (God bless unions, @Rixer ;))
    I paid into the system ...as far as I'm concerned, I'm just temporarily being reimbursed.
     
    • Agree Agree x 1
    1. phxbi_bear80
      No doubt!
       
      phxbi_bear80, Dec 3, 2020
    2. Dearelliot
      I too paid in but being retired for 18 years I have received so much more back than I gave them
       
      Dearelliot, Dec 3, 2020
      Valspar likes this.
    3. shootersa
      Thats what happens when the government takes your money and then decides how much and when you get it back.
      They always get their cut.
       
      shootersa, Dec 3, 2020
      heads-up likes this.
    #12
  13. Valspar

    Valspar porn surfer

    Joined:
    Feb 3, 2018
    Messages:
    23,993
    I keep my resume updated online with IDES like I'm required to every 90 days.
    I get almost daily e-mails from ZipRecruiter for jobs which I apply for and keep records of.
    It's a mess...that's all I have to say about that.
     
    • Empathize Empathize x 1
    1. latecomer91364
      It's tough times for that. I hope you find something soon.
       
      latecomer91364, Dec 3, 2020
    2. Valspar
      Thanks, man...I'll be ok.
      My glass is always half full.
       
      Valspar, Dec 3, 2020
    #13
  14. conroe4

    conroe4 Lake Lover In XNXX Heaven

    Joined:
    Nov 26, 2006
    Messages:
    26,760
    My cup runneth over, and it's all Trump's fault. Damn that man.
     
    1. Valspar
      I guess my rambling point is...I'm playing by the rules and doing what I'm supposed to do.
      Just because some people are technically unemployed doesn't mean they're unembloyable.
       
      Valspar, Dec 3, 2020
      thinskin likes this.
    2. conroe4
      There are literally thousands of jobs available in Texas. I suspect it's the same everywhere, but I'm not seeking employment.
      I'm avoiding it. I think I've been approached many times that if I want a job, I'm hired. even once, I said hell no, and the manager
      said, "You're hired!" NOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!! I'll never need to work again. We'll see what biden brings us.
       
      conroe4, Dec 3, 2020
    #14
  15. Distant Lover

    Distant Lover Master of Facts

    Joined:
    Oct 23, 2007
    Messages:
    59,337
    You are fucking delusional, Obama’s economy was the worst since Jimmy Carter

    - heads-up

    ------------

    During the Carter administration the national debt as a percentage of gross domestic product (GDP) declined from 34% to 32%. Under Ronald Reagan it grew to 50%.

    https://www.thebalance.com/national-debt-by-year-compared-to-gdp-and-major-events-3306287

    During the Carter administration there was a shallow six month recession. The unemployment rate reached 7.8%. During the Reagan administrfation there was a deep sixteen month recession. The unemployment rate reached 10.8%.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_recessions_in_the_United_States

    During the Carter administratin an average of 2,586,250 jobs were created every year. Under Reagan that declined to 2,016,375 jobs.

    https://www.bushtoll.com/2012/03/05/the-george-w-bush-job-creation-failure/
     
    1. shootersa
      During the Obama administration the national debt doubled, from $9 TRILLION to over $19 TRILLION.
      His jobs record was as bad and be told us the days of 3% growth were over for the US.
       
      shootersa, Dec 3, 2020
      heads-up likes this.
    2. heads-up
      Under James Carter the economy was weak, Reagan had the first S&L failures and a Star Wars Program that bankrupted the Soviets trying to keep up with us. Obama was simply sad, and had eight years. For any of you fools to say Trump benefitted from Obama just proves you live in denial and plain fucking lunacy.
       
      heads-up, Dec 3, 2020
    3. shootersa
      Its just propaganda. They know better. At least, the more aware ones know. The radicals will never know.
       
      shootersa, Dec 3, 2020
    #15
  16. shootersa

    shootersa Frisky Feline

    Joined:
    Dec 28, 2010
    Messages:
    81,849
    Well, but @Valspar, are you thinking you paid into unemployment?
    You didn't.
     
    1. View previous comments...
    2. shootersa
      Oh, Shooter isn't judging.
      All he's saying is you don't pay into unemployment. No employee pays into unemployment. Employers pay for unemployment.
       
      shootersa, Dec 3, 2020
    3. Valspar
      I get that, I really do.
      But until you've worked for a global company like Caterpillar where you're just a number (314683) you pay the piper.
       
      Valspar, Dec 3, 2020
    4. conroe4
      Don't pay shooter no never mind. It was a part of your salary to have Caterpillar pay unemployment.
      Ya see, he was Human Resources. They're anything BUT human. LOL
       
      conroe4, Dec 3, 2020
      Valspar likes this.
    5. Valspar
      Yeah...I avoided human resources.
      That was a death knell.
      314683.....lol!!!
       
      Valspar, Dec 3, 2020
      conroe4 likes this.
    6. shootersa
      HEY!!
      Shooter was a Human resource CONSULTANT.
      He was NOT Human resources.
      He made those people heroes in their organizations!!

      And for the record, Caterpillar was never one of his clients.
      The HR guy and the CFO had their own little fiefdom thingy going.
       
      shootersa, Dec 3, 2020
    #16
  17. stumbler

    stumbler Porn Star

    Joined:
    Oct 10, 2006
    Messages:
    104,824
    Trump is still president and the Republicans control the Senate so there's no way they can pass it unless Republicans vote for it and Trump signs it.
     
    • Agree Agree x 1
    1. heads-up
      You are correct sir, but Jan. Is near and I have no faith that those that already won the Senate seats in GA ain’t fixing to get screwed in the “redo” runoff election. So another couple months isn’t too long for the tit suck express to cool their jets...
       
      heads-up, Dec 3, 2020
    2. stumbler
      Oh yes I am very well versed in the lie of conservatism as it is preached and practiced in this nation @heads-up. Crank up the money presses full speed when a Republican is president and just put it on the credit card. And then lie and say they are fiscally responsible when a Democrat is president.

      Trump and the Republicans were already running a trillion dollar deficit before anyone even heard of COVID.
       
      stumbler, Dec 3, 2020
      gammaXray likes this.
    3. heads-up
      A trillion in four, Obama, 9 plus trillion in eight. Not one dime of the six trillion Covid is Trumps. Keep up son. Your math is flawed as you are. The fucking Dems wanted more and it has been the Republicans preventing the wholesale money grab. Keep believing your big government, hand out ways are the answer.
       
      heads-up, Dec 3, 2020
    4. stumbler
      Here let me help you out here @heads-up because apparently you skipped over this.

      Trump and the Republicans were already running a trillion dollar deficit before anyone even heard of COVID.
       
      stumbler, Dec 3, 2020
    #17
  18. Sanity_is_Relative

    Sanity_is_Relative Porn Star

    Joined:
    Apr 18, 2015
    Messages:
    18,964
    Cutting off the $600 boost to unemployment benefits would be both cruel and bad economicsNew personal income data show just how steep the coming fiscal cliff will be
    Congress passed the CARE Act in March to provide relief and recovery from the economic effects of the coronavirus. By far the best part of the CARES Act was a significant expansion of the unemployment insurance (UI) system, which included a $600 per week boost to UI benefits. Congress settled on a flat $600 top-up to weekly benefits because the antiquated state UI administrative capacity could not handle more tailored ways to increase UI benefit generosity, and giving everybody an extra $600 guaranteed that most workers would receive at least as much in UI benefits as they did from their previous employment.

    In normal times, economists and policymakers have focused a lot of attention (almost surely too much) on the incentive effects of UI benefits. If these benefits were too generous, the worry was that this would blunt workers’ incentives to actively search for new jobs. The negative economic impacts of these incentive effects have always been exaggerated, but these effects become truly trivial during times when the economy’s growth is clearly constrained by insufficient aggregate demand (spending by households, businesses, and governments).

    When growth is demand-constrained, there are more potential workers than available jobs, so hounding these potential workers into more intense job-searching by making UI benefits less generous doesn’t result in more jobs being created, it just results in more frustrated job searches. This logic became even more compelling during the first phase of the economic collapse caused by the coronavirus. Not only were there not enough jobs to employ willing workers, for public health reasons we didn’t want enough jobs to employ these workers, as the shutdown in economic activity and employment was the point of lockdown measures. Even as official lockdowns ease in coming months (often prematurely), jobs will be sharply constrained by demand, not workers’ incentives.


    Further, when the economy’s growth is demand-constrained, anything that keeps households from cutting back on spending actually supports growth. UI benefits are by definition laser-targeted on households that have suffered a severe shock to income by losing their job. Research shows definitively that spending falls much further in those households afflicted by job loss when they do not receive UI benefits. In the current crisis, UI benefits have kept the cutback in spending in closed sectors from leading more catastrophically to cutbacks in spending in other sectors. For example, as restaurant and airline employees lost their jobs early in the coronavirus crisis due to social distancing measures, UI benefits provided income to spend in still-going sectors like grocery stores, and contained some of the economic collapse.

    In past recessions, UI benefits have been among the most efficient sources of support for aggregate demand, with each dollar spent on these benefits boosting economywide spending by as much as $2. But compared with other policy efforts to support aggregate demand, UI has been relatively small simply because we didn’t spend all that much in providing these benefits, both because each individual benefit was relatively stingy (replacing on average about half of a worker’s previous salary) or because eligibility criteria were stringent and only a small share of all unemployed workers received benefits.

    The CARES Act UI expansions, however, have boosted the macroeconomic impact of the UI system enormously, particularly the extra $600 weekly payment (though the expanded eligibility requirements are also helping enormously). The last payment of the extra $600, however, will be for the week ending July 25. (The CARES Act states that the extra $600 applies to weeks of unemployment “ending on or before July 31, 2020,” which is a Friday. Since, in the UI world, weeks typically end on Saturday, the last payment will be for the week ending July 25.) Currently, unemployment rate forecasts for the third quarter of this year (July, August, and September) indicate that unemployment will still be higher than it was during the worst months of the Great Recession in 2008–2009. In coming months, the economy’s growth will continue to be tightly constrained by insufficient aggregate demand, and cutting off a policy support that helps households maintain spending is a terrible idea, both for these households’ welfare and for macroeconomic stabilization.

    Today, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) released data on personal income showing that the $600 benefit top-up boosted incomes by $842 billion (at an annualized rate) in May. The historic nature of this boost coming from UI is shown in Figure A below, which displays total UI benefits divided by total wage and salary income. In May of 2020, UI benefits were 14.6% of total wage and salary income, several times larger than the pre-coronavirus historical high of 2.5% that was registered during 2010.

    ChartData
    Note: Data is quarterly for all years before 2020 and monthly for 2020 year-to-date.

    Source: Author’s analysis of the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), National Income and Product Accounts (NIPA) data.

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    In recent congressional testimony, economist Jason Furman projected how much continuation of these extra benefits would boost gross domestic product (GDP) and employment by 2022. To do this, he assumed that the relationship between the unemployment rate and total unemployment benefits would hold if the extra $600 benefit payments were extended. Furman finds that at peak levels (in the third quarter of 2020) the extra $600 top-up by itself is projected to boost GDP by 2.8% and to support just under three million jobs. In short, letting this extra $600 in UI benefits expire at the end of July would by itself cause more job loss than was seen in either of the recessions of the early 1990s or early 2000s.

    Of course, it doesn’t have to play out this way. Policymakers can and should extend the extra $600 in UI benefits and allow the amount of the benefit top-up to phase down modestly over time as the unemployment rate falls and the economy begins growing faster. This estimate shows us how enormously important expanded unemployment insurance over the next year will be to aggregate demand, as new job openings are all but guaranteed to be fewer than jobless potential workers over that time, so any incentive effect in keeping workers from searching actively for work will not be the binding constraint on the economy’s growth.

    Table 1 shows the potential boost to GDP and employment from extending the $600 top-up through the middle of 2021 nationally and then by state. It essentially replicates the spirit of the Furman methodology for national numbers, but uses data from the May data release on personal income from the BEA rather than projections from the Congressional Budget Office (CBO). The national estimates for personal income, GDP, and employment is then allocated to states based on each state’s share of UI claimants in May of this year. The allocation by state, shown in Figure B, is a rough estimate—as a recovery begins, it is likely to be uneven and see a change in the state distribution of joblessness. But it does seem highly likely that states disproportionately hit by the economic slowdown so far will continue to suffer more damage. The key parameter for how much states have suffered so far is the share of their total pre-coronavirus employment that was concentrated in sectors like restaurants and tourism that were the epicenter of the shutdown. It seems clear that recovery will be slowest in precisely these sectors, unless a vaccine or radically effective treatment is discovered very soon.

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    TABLE 1
    Average boost to personal income, GDP, and employment from extending $600 UI benefit, August 2020 to July 2021
    Personal income (millions) GDP Jobs supported
    U.S., total
    $508,619 3.7% 5,083,197
    Alabama 4,898 3.2% 43,261
    Alaska 1,245 3.4% 12,458
    Arizona 5,619 2.3% 55,566
    Arkansas 3,060 3.4% 29,984
    California 72,959 3.5% 836,142
    Colorado 6,597 2.5% 66,898
    Connecticut 7,031 3.7% 74,689
    Delaware 1,336 2.7% 14,621
    District of Columbia 1,821 1.9% 19,611
    Florida 27,655 3.8% 244,921
    Georgia 19,233 4.7% 186,605
    Hawaii 3,390 5.2% 32,751
    Idaho 1,394 2.6% 10,049
    Illinois 19,119 3.2% 195,149
    Indiana 6,328 2.5% 59,443
    Iowa 4,422 3.4% 42,580
    Kansas 2,613 2.3% 26,089
    Kentucky 5,786 4.0% 49,751
    Louisiana 8,156 4.6% 81,945
    Maine 3,045 6.8% 18,025
    Maryland 6,473 2.3% 67,486
    Massachusetts 15,243 3.8% 157,162
    Michigan 23,719 6.6% 194,520
    Minnesota 10,609 4.2% 107,633
    Mississippi 4,511 5.7% 42,744
    Missouri 6,439 2.9% 59,410
    Montana 1,283 3.7% 11,800
    Nebraska 1,600 1.9% 15,422
    Nevada 8,930 7.5% 84,166
    New Hampshire 2,758 4.7% 26,941
    New Jersey 14,839 3.5% 147,911
    New Mexico 2,731 3.9% 29,012
    New York 46,137 4.0% 463,968
    North Carolina 14,581 3.7% 142,496
    North Dakota 803 2.1% 9,293
    Ohio 15,784 3.4% 129,599
    Oklahoma 3,902 2.8% 46,018
    Oregon 7,213 4.3% 115,599
    Pennsylvania 24,454 4.5% 252,642
    Rhode Island 2,151 5.1% 20,228
    South Carolina 5,986 3.6% 54,484
    South Dakota 568 1.6% 5,107
    Tennessee 8,357 3.3% 80,269
    Texas 33,556 2.7% 364,576
    Utah 2,106 1.7% 20,728
    Vermont 1,273 5.5% 11,831
    Virginia 10,350 2.8% 106,549
    Washington 16,529 4.1% 122,224
    West Virginia 2,325 4.5% 22,606
    Wisconsin 7,277 3.1% 65,635
    Wyoming 429 1.6% 4,597





    The numbers seem to tell a different story than the blather that the OP is spewing.
     
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    #18
  19. Sanity_is_Relative

    Sanity_is_Relative Porn Star

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    These Two Charts Prove The $600 Extra Unemployment Benefits Boosted The Economy
    [​IMG]
    Ryan Derousseau
    Senior Contributor
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    • have argued against including the additional benefits in the next round of stimulus, but recent unemployment numbers and increases in COVID-19 could lead them to pare down the benefits, instead of removing them altogether. Based on new research, to protect the economy, they may want to keep the benefits as is, which are set to run out in late July.

      A new study from JPMorgan Chase Institute has found that the boosted unemployment benefits led to an increase in spending by those receiving the checks. When someone begins taking unemployment insurance, spending typically falls by 7%, on average, during a normal economic period. Those receiving unemployment checks under the CARES Act saw spending increase by 10%.

      On average, spending by those employed during the pandemic decreased by 10%.

      “The fact that spending by benefit recipients rose during the pandemic instead of falling, like in normal times, suggests that the $600 supplement has helped households to smooth consumption and stabilized aggregate demand,” wrote the JPMorgan researchers.
    This spending had a dramatic impact on consumption, at a time when the economy needed help.

    The Spending Corresponds to the Benefits

    JPMorgan’s data shows just how impactful the extra insurance helped during this moment when spending could have declined. Prior to the bill going into effect in March, those facing a layoff saw spending decline by 8%. It’s just beyond the average rate that other studies have found in post-unemployment spending.

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    That number jumps dramatically, rising from an 8% decline to a 22% increase from pre-unemployment spending, following the passage and implementation of the bill.

    [​IMG]

    Assuming spending by the unemployed would have averaged out to a 7% decline from previous spending, like is typically seen during unemployment, then “these numbers suggest that households who receive unemployment benefits are spending 29 percent more during the pandemic than they would in ordinary times,” according to the research.

    The spending increased the most for those where the $600 additional dollars provided the largest benefit to typical income and spending. It implies that the lowest wage workers benefited – and spent more – from the boosted income.

    Those With Benefit Delays Struggled The Most

    It’s also important to understand when those that received unemployment benefits actually started getting the checks to determine the impact of the extra funds. Again, this indicates that spending nationally would have suffered deeper hits without the funds in place.

    Those that experienced a substantial delay in insurance benefits saw the most dramatic declines in spending. A household that received the UI benefits starting in late May saw a 20% decline in spending by the time they began to receive checks.


    [​IMG]

    Each week beyond March 29 that the delay occurred, it led to an average 2.25% decline in spending.

    Not Re-Upping Unemployment Benefits Could Sting

    Based on average spending currently taking place among unemployed households and the standard spending in households, when facing unemployment during a regular period, Congress can expect a 29% decline in spending among this group.

    It’s possible that the extra $600 coincided with other benefits, like stimulus checks and rent forbearance, which provided even more liquidity than in typical times. Cutting the benefit could deepen economic concerns.

    “Eliminating the $600 supplement could result in large spending cuts and thus potential negative effects on macroeconomic activity,” according to the findings.

    Republicans have argued that including such a benefit in the next round of stimulus could discourage people from going back to work. There are, however, clear signs that one of the best tactics Congress took in the initial COVID recession was propping up spending for the over 30 million people that would end up filing for the benefits.

    That’s true, not just for those unemployed, but for the economy as well.
     
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    #19
  20. John227

    John227 Porn Star

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    A certain group of pro-Trumpers are bashing waiters, cooks, hotel maids, taxi drivers, and other employees of businesses considered "non-essential" who lost their jobs due to the pandemic, for using the pandemic benefit of $600 per week to pay their rents, health insurance, medical co-pays, and other necessities of life. Good for them! Reveal your value system to the world!

    I will wait, but just for a little while, for those same pro-Trumpers to whine about the millions of dollars business owners are getting from the Payroll Protection Program for the purpose of paying their employees so those same employees won't be laid off. Because being paid off means being forced to accept unemployment benefits - including the pandemic benefits of $600 per week - and incurring the wrath of those same pro-Trumpers.

    Oh! Lo and surprise! There are fraudsters making bogus claims to get PPP millions! Business owners, possibly also Trump supporters like the My Pillow guy, falsifying their employment and payroll records in order to get free pandemic money from the federal government! Oh, the horror! The horror!

    Will the Trumpettes on this site give equal condemnation to the business owners fraudulently getting PPP money and using it to buy luxury cars rather than pay employees, as they give to the laid-off employees using pandemic unemployment benefits to pay rent?
     
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    1. shootersa
      shootersa, Dec 3, 2020
    #20